stock market

Don’t Get Too Excited

Uncomfortable truths

Yesterday’s news of the Pfizer vaccine may well be the emotional highlight of 2020. It certainly put a big smile on my face, notwithstanding an otherwise challenging day at work. A triumph of good over evil. Of human ingenuity over a nasty, deadly illness. Of progress over yet another temporary setback. The markets reacted accordingly. …

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Destruction of Value

Destruction of value

About ten years ago, I attended an investment conference that brought together students and faculty from a number of MBA programs on the East Coast. Eugene Fama was one of the keynote speakers at the event. This was a few years before he won the Nobel Prize, but it’s fair to say that he was …

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I Told You So

Back in late February (which now feels like a lifetime ago), a colleague and I were chatting about the stock market. The S&P had just gone down through the 3,000 mark. The said colleague, who happens to be a very thoughtful person, mentioned that he was worried about the prospects of a pandemic and had …

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A Magic Money Making Machine

If one were to distill the most contentious question in stock market investing, it would boil down to this: “What is a reasonable expectation for stock market returns going forward?” Your take on the question above impacts a multitude of things. First and foremost, it drives your asset allocation decisions. Do you go all-in on …

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How Have Various Asset Classes Performed in 2020?

Asset class performance

To say that 2020 has been an eventful year would be an understatement. A once-in-a-century worldwide pandemic led to unprecedented levels of government and central bank intervention. In turn, the combination of a macro shock with the fiscal and monetary response has led to some pretty interesting developments in the capital markets. While my own …

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Back In Action

You may have noticed that as of last week, we are back to regularly scheduled, twice-weekly programming here at Banker On Fire. Two weeks in Spain flew by. It wasn’t a relaxing holiday by a stretch – a toddler, an infant, and a stream of work emails and calls saw to it. No chilling out …

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